The
tone was downbeat at a recent statewide commercial
real estate conference in Richmond. Report after
report noted high vacancy rates and tenant defaults
following the bursting of the high tech bubble two
years ago. But when J. Scott Adams of CB Richard
Ellis and R. Clay Culbreth of Advantis Real Estate
Services Co. ended their sober presentation on the
Hampton Roads market, they broke into comedy to
liven things up. Donning wigs, they launched into
their interpretation of Sonny and Cher's signature
song from the 1960s, rewritten as "We've Got
Space, Babe!"
The
duo drew hearty laughs, but many of the brokers
who attended the Certified Commercial Investment
Members (CCIM) confab remain wary. It's been a decade
since the office market has been glutted with so
much space. "For lease" signs are out
in force. Hardest hit are high technology firms,
especially telecommunications companies, which saw
few limits to their growth in the late 1990s. Vacancies
are worst in the high-tech corridors of Northern
Virginia, which has seen the implosion of attention-grabbing
tech firms such as Teligent, PSINet and XO Communications.
At the end of the first quarter, the rate for office
vacancies was 25 percent in Herndon and 17 percent
at Tysons Corner.
Taking
a cue from Adams' and Culbreth's zaniness, the Virginia
commercial real estate industry is regrouping by
coming up with imaginative new ways to lease or
sell space. They're handing out goodies that haven't
been seen in years to brokers and leasers alike.
Closing a deal can bring a bonus, commissions, a
trip to the Bahamas or a Rolex watch. "If you
do a big deal you can get a Porsche in addition
to your commission," says one Richmond area
broker. Open houses for brokers, which many in the
industry thought were disappearing, are coming back
as a way to boost traffic. Many of these feature
raffles for even more dinners, trips and goodies.
Such
incentives, including bonus commissions, which can
raise a broker's 3 percent commission to as high
as 6 percent, are not isolated to Northern Virginia,
where conditions are the worst. Even in Innsbrook,
one of the tighter markets in Richmond, there are
deals to be had. After incentives are thrown in,
rents may be discounted by as much as 10 percent
to 20 percent, says broker Mark Douglas of Insignia
Thalhimer in Richmond. As a recent CB Richard Ellis
flier for Innsbrook's HRH building advised, "We
are offering $100 cash to any broker who brings
a client that needs 10,000 square feet or greater
through for a tour of the building." Each time
brokers show the site, they are also entered into
a raffle for a Bahamas trip for two. Previous offers
included a two-year lease on a BMW 23 and a trip
to Europe.
In
many markets, the oversupply of office space means
lower rents. Before the glut, space that was going
for $30 a square foot now rents for $20 a square
foot, says Chip Ryan, executive director of Cushman
& Wakefield, a real estate firm in Tysons Corner.
Yet unlike the last real estate bust in the late
1980s and early '90s when developers overbuilt,
tenants drive the problem this time. Thinking big
and outside of the box, Internet and telecommunication
companies drove up demand for office space in the
late 1990s. By the time the party was over in mid-2000,
many didn't have the business to support big leases.
Business failures dumped a lot of space back on
the market. It's the major reason for Northern Virginia's
overall vacancy rate of 13.6 percent at the end
of this year's first quarter, up from 11.9 percent
in 2001. Currently, the region has more than 19
million square feet of available office space, including
more than 7 million of vacant sublet space.
Lease
and sublease activity picked up during the first
half of the year, but it's nowhere close to what
the sector needs to support itself heading into
the slower summer months. Fortunately, though, for
Northern Virginia, federal agencies and government
contractors are scouting for space as a result of
increased defense and security spending. The government's
presence and other well-entrenched businesses have
the ability to weather the current economy. Much
of the activity is close in to Washington around
Rosslyn, Crystal City and Ballston.
Another
positive sign that things are picking up: Sublease
space for the region actually declined by 208,808
square feet by the first quarter's end. Recent deals
include the Office of Navy Research taking 311,000
square feet, the Department of Labor, 85,000 square
feet, and SRI International 60,000 square feet in
the Rosslyn/Ballston area. Microsoft is moving workers
from the District to 50,000 square feet at Reston
Towne Center and will create new jobs at a 100,000-square-foot
sublease site in Ashburn. In one of the first quarter's
largest transactions, IBM Corp. is subleasing 110,000
square feet in Reston for an expansion of its government
services group. VeriSign is leasing 400,000 square
feet of space in Herndon in what was formerly the
home of Winstar, a telecommunications company that
went bankrupt and was acquired by another firm.
And Rosslyn's Twin Towers, the home of Gannett and
USA Today until they relocated to a new Tysons Corner
corporate campus, has been fully leased. Among the
tenants is WJLA-TV, which moved from the District
and leased 84,000 square feet.
Many
real estate executives say they believe the market
is bottoming out or close to it. Yet many of the
same people have been saying the same thing since
last summer. "It's a safe thing to say,"
says Mark C. Larsen, president of Larsen Commercial
Real Estate Services in Reston. "I think we're
closer to the bottom than we were six months ago,"
he says. Other brokers suggest some markets could
have an inventory of available space for a year
or so.
Though
space is clearly being absorbed in Northern Virginia,
hundreds of thousands of square feet will come back
on the market in the next year or so as new construction
is completed. Freddie Mac is expected to move into
its new 225,000-square- foot building next year
in Herndon and will vacate a slightly smaller space.
And Capital One Financial Corp. will give up several
properties when it moves into its new McLean headquarters.
Filling
any space is difficult, but none more so than in
the sublease market. While prospective tenants can
find some good deals, they also must worry whether
their landlord will still be in business tomorrow.
"Would you really want to lease space now from
WorldCom? If they go out of business you don't have
a lease," says Larsen.
The
result is that some tenants are struggling to sublet
sapce. Aether Systems in Tysons, for example, has
been unsuccessful in subleasing 150,000 square feet.
Instead, it has returned the property to the landlord
and subsidized the rent for a new tenant. Rather
than paying $35 per square foot, the new tenant
may only pay $25, with Aether paying the $10 difference.
Tenants are also paying for improvements to sublet
space, commissions, legal fees and other costs just
to close a deal on subleased space. "They'll
pay all the differentials just to get the landlord
to do the deal," says Larsen. Paying hefty
fees to get out of leases is another popular ploy.
Take Proxicom, which never moved into the Reston
building it leased. The building sat empty for a
year with Proxicom paying the rent. It eventually
wrote the landlord a check reportedly worth one
to two years' rent just to get off the hook. As
costly as that transaction was, the company got
out of a 10-year obligation.
Some
firms are taking advantage of the market and good
deals to cut their costs. Those in good financial
shape are looking ahead and pressing landlords for
longer-term leases to lock in savings. They're also
taking prime space in areas such as the Dulles corridor.
But
sublease isn't necessarily a dirty word these days.
Unique spaces may not only pay for themselves but
also generate a profit. Creative thinking by Advantis
Real Estate Services brokers Jeff Ahearn and Charlie
Polk in Richmond helped grocer SuperValu realize
there was more money to be made in real estate than
in selling green beans. An acquisition left SuperValu
leasing 575,000 square feet of refrigerated space
it didn't need. Now, it's making a profit subleasing
250,000 square feet of that space to Richmond Cold
Storage, which is using the property to store tobacco
for Philip Morris. "Their occupancy cost at
the property is so low that it doesn't take a genius
to figure out that you can go to the market and
make a lot of money," says Ahearn, who is working
on deals to sublease another 300,000 square feet.
Another
tech bust that seems to be turning out well involves
Atlanta-based Internet Service Provider iXL. Just
two years ago, iXL Inc. was an icon of high-tech's
go-go years. It spent $4 million on a new 60,000
square-foot Virginia headquarters in suburban Richmond's
Innsbrook office park. The building went far beyond
mere work cubicles, adding such accoutrements as
a rock climbing wall, purple corridors and an aquarium
to entice talented twenty-somethings to work there.
Just
as the shiny new building was nearing completion,
the downturn hit and iXL started handing out pink
slips. The restructuring meant it didn't need a
fancy new Richmond headquarters. So the Richmond
office merged with another firm, Scient, and worked
out of its space, before closing up shop here altogether.
Today, the former iXL headquarters rents at full
price - $19.50 per square foot. Leasing the unique
space has not been difficult, says Paul Kreckman,
president of the Richmond office of Highwoods Properties
Inc. In fact, 40 percent of the space is leased
and negotiations are underway for much of the remaining
space. The site's peculiar perks, including the
weight room, locker room and showers, external balconies
and lots of pre-wiring for computer and phone systems,
is actually drawing some clients. "Performance
Food Group moved right into the old executive offices.
They had an immediate need. They came in and said
great,"says Kreckman. Retrofitting the site
wasn't costly, he adds, since many of the changes
requested by iXL were cosmetic and inexpensive to
change. After a couple coats of paint, the purple
lobby walls are now cream. "I don't know that
the rock climbing wall is going to survive,"
he says.
Compared
to the state's other major markets, Hampton Roads
- with a smaller technology community - escaped
a major dumping of space. The region's office vacancy
rates were 11.8 percent for 2001, up from 9.7 percent
in 2000, but still far below Northern Virginia.
and the Roanoke Valley. Office vacancy rates for
the valley's suburban market shot up to 13 percent
last year, because a major tenant in the northern
part of the market moved out of leased space into
a facility it built, and a couple of technology
tenants shut their offices down altogether.
From
a landlord perspective, this downturn, the fourth
in the last 20 years, has been the easiest, say
Wayne Hoffman and Bill Rucker of West*Group in McLean.
Even in Northern Virginia, where most West*Group
holdings are located, most landlords continue to
be paid monthly whether the space is being used
or not.
The
big question is how long tenants can continue to
pay for space they're not using, or subsidize space
someone else is using. And how long can real estate
companies hold out with high vacancy rates and lower
rents? "We're not dead yet," says B.K.
Allen of B.K. Allen Real Estate in Reston. "I'm
sometimes amazed that some people I know have not
gone under. Everybody seems to be working things
out." Besides things are looking up. Scott
Price, director of research for Delta Associates,
a real estate research firm in Alexandria, says
the office market will continue to be soft over
the next quarter or two. And then the sun will shine
again. "By year end, with the market stabilizing
and moving into 2003, we expect a gradual recovery."
Return
to Virginia Business - June 2002