Taking
Stock
E-news a go-go
There are times I miss the rush of daily deadlines. At newspapers,
reporters gather what information they can in the eight or so hours before the night
editor starts demanding copy. The next two days allow time for filling in the blanks. At a
monthly magazine, theres little room for daily updates. Readers have to hit our Web
site for that.
So in an economy
marked by mini-revolutions, its hard to stay on top of the latest coup. When
Virginia Business went to press last month with a cover story about Value America (Nasdaq,
VUSA: $4.91), the Charlottesville company was in the midst of a metamorphosis. As a public
company it went out of the chute in April 1999. The offering started at $23 and more than
tripled that first day.
This fall, though, the CEO inexplicably left after nine months. Founder Craig Winn, who
impressed audiences with his road show and who still owns a third of the company, scaled
back his involvement. Shortly after he stepped down as chairman, this magazines
simple follow-up question How many employees do you now have? was met with a
noncommittal answer: "The number is changing all the time."
When the magazine was at the printer, confound it, the online retailer announced it
would take a $5.6 million restructuring charge in the fourth quarter, cut its work force
in half and revamp sales strategies. Revenue estimates for the fourth quarter also fell
short of expectations. The holidays were show time for online retailers. Many
including Value America had technical glitches and order backlogs.
Whats next for the company? The plan is to regroup. Five of the retailers
30 categories account for 95 percent of revenue, says company spokesman David Kuo.
Thats where the company will turn its attention. "Our focus is primarily going
to be in business-to-business and business-to-government" sales, Kuo says, such as
computers, office equipment and supplies. Value America may look for partners in the near
future; the company has appointed a committee to "explore strategic
opportunities."
Still, 1999 introduced millions to the world of online shopping. Companies like Amazon
led the way, but estimates of Web sales exceeded expectations. Revenues could reach $6
billion.
As Value America works through the next few months, its wait and see. "I
think people are taking a show-me attitude," Kuo says. "They have a sense that
theres opportunity, that we have a strong business model, and theyre affording
us the opportunity for us to show our stuff."
* * *
Virginia saw the worlds biggest-ever acquisition in the deal between Exxon and
Mobil. That $86 billion union was consummated in November 1999. Now it could be eclipsed
as Dulles-based America Online (NYSE, AOL: $72.63) acquires media giant Time Warner Inc.
(NYSE, TWX: $92.25) in New York. Steve Case will remain in charge at the new AOL Time
Warner and will keep his home and office in Northern Virginia, but the official
headquarters and the companys board will be in some larger city to our north (whose
trash, incidentally, were happy to store).
The deal initially was valued at more than $160 billion, but analysts and investors are
rethinking the stock, and at press time the deals value had dropped. The thinking is
that AOLs meteoric growth rates will slow as it absorbs Time Warner or, as some
suspect, Time Warner absorbs AOL. The Internet giant enjoys a reputation as an
energy-filled, fast-paced shop. Now it will be sharing cubicle space with a traditional,
slow-growing media behemoth.
AOL has shown that it believes content is king. The deal puts Time Warner, the
countrys biggest magazine publisher Time, Sports Illustrated, Fortune
on a fast track to deliver quality content. It has movies, publishing, cable TV and
entertainers like Cher, Madonna and Adam Sandler. HBO, CNN and Looney Toons will be backed
by the power of the Internet.
The change of address is disappointing for the commonwealth. Prince William County,
where AOL is expanding (see story), and others arent
worried about lost jobs or scaled-back operations. But Internet companies are pack
animals; they want to be with their own. Theres still unmatched technological
strength in Northern Virginia, although losing the AOL headquarters and its top executives
is a psychological blow. It was the same when UUNet became part of MCI, then the
long-distance company melded into MCI WorldCom. The fact that Case is chairman of the new
entity eases the pain.
For investors, though, the question is: Who will take the next turn on the dance floor?
|